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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time:
2024-05-11T13:57Z
Model Inputs: 2024-05-11T01:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=51.0, Lat.=0.0, Speed=1263.0, HalfAngle=51.0, Time21.5=2024-05-11T04:22Z Model Outputs: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-05-13T04:59Z (+- 7 hours) Duration of disturbance (hr) = 27.7 (+- 8 hours) Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.8 Possible Kp index: (kp)90=5 (kp)135=6 (kp)180=7 Other Location(s) Impact: Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-14T18:37Z Mars with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-13T17:42Z Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T05:42Z STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-12T20:25Z OSIRIS-APEX with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-13T04:00Z (Glancing Blow) Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240511_042200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Note : BepiColombo with estimated shock arrival time 2024-05-11T19:00Z (+- 7 Hours) (Glancing Blow) Submitted on 2024-05-11T14:00Z by Tony Iampietro A Notification with ID 20240511-AL-012 was sent on 2024-05-11T14:23Z |
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